La Liga
— Matchday 5
Real Madrid
4 – 1
Vallecano
1X2
Real Madrid
68.3%
Draw
18.7%
Vallecano
13.1%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66.7%
Under 2.5
33.3%
BTTS
Both Score
58.4%
No
41.6%
Model Reasoning
Real Madrid favoured (68%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Real Madrid to create significantly more chances (2.4 xG vs 1.0 xG).
• Real Madrid are without key defender Éder Militão (Muscle injury).
• Vallecano are missing key goalkeeper Augusto Batalla (Lower leg fracture).
• Real Madrid have a potent attack, ranked among the league's best.
• Real Madrid are defensively solid.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Real Madrid
W
L
W
W
W
Vallecano
W
L
W
D
D
Squad News
Real Madrid
- Injured Raúl Asencio ★ Defender · fatigue fracture
- Injured Rodrygo ★ Attacker · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Ferland Mendy Defender · Tendon rupture
- Suspended Vinicius Junior Suspension
Vallecano
- Injured Augusto Batalla ★ Goalkeeper · Lower leg fracture
- Injured Luiz Felipe Defender · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Raúl de Tomás Attacker · Fitness
Season Stats
9
Played
8
21
Points
9
24
Goals Scored
12
9
Goals Conceded
17
+15
Goal Diff
-5
2
Clean Sheets
0
Head to Head
1 match played
Real Madrid
Draws
Vallecano
Last meeting (1 Feb 2026): 2-1
Prediction vs Result
1X2
1 (68%)
1
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Over (67%)
Over
✓
BTTS
Yes (58%)
Yes
✓
Match Statistics
3
HT Score
0