La Liga
— Matchday 5
Real Madrid
vs
Vallecano
1X2
Real Madrid
58.4%
Draw
24.7%
Vallecano
17%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50.5%
Under 2.5
49.5%
BTTS
Both Score
50%
No
50%
Model Reasoning
Real Madrid favoured (58%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Real Madrid to create significantly more chances (1.8 xG vs 0.9 xG).
• Real Madrid are without key midfielder Aurélien Tchouaméni (Muscle injury).
• Vallecano are missing key goalkeeper Augusto Batalla (Lower leg fracture).
• Real Madrid have a potent attack, ranked among the league's best.
• Real Madrid are defensively solid.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Real Madrid
W
W
W
W
L
Vallecano
W
W
L
D
L
Squad News
Real Madrid
- Injured Aurélien Tchouaméni ★ Midfielder · Muscle injury
- Injured Endrick ★ Attacker · Muscle injury
- Injured Raúl Asencio ★ Defender · Muscle injury
- Injured Rodrygo ★ Attacker · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Ferland Mendy Defender · Tendon rupture
Vallecano
- Injured Augusto Batalla ★ Goalkeeper · Lower leg fracture
- Injured Raúl de Tomás Attacker · unknown injury
Season Stats
4
Played
3
9
Points
1
11
Goals Scored
4
3
Goals Conceded
8
+8
Goal Diff
-4
1
Clean Sheets
0
Head to Head
1 match played
Real Madrid
Draws
Vallecano
Last meeting (1 Feb 2026): 2-1