La Liga
— Matchday 1
Real Madrid
5 – 1
Sociedad
1X2
Real Madrid
58.1%
Draw
23.6%
Sociedad
18.2%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
Both Score
57.6%
No
42.4%
Model Reasoning
Real Madrid favoured (58%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Real Madrid to create significantly more chances (2.0 xG vs 1.1 xG).
• Real Madrid are in excellent form, winning 5 of their last 5 matches.
• Real Madrid are without key midfielder Aurélien Tchouaméni (Muscle injury).
• Sociedad are missing key attacker Gonçalo Guedes (surgery).
• Real Madrid have a potent attack, ranked among the league's best.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Real Madrid
L
W
W
W
L
Sociedad
W
D
W
L
W
Squad News
Real Madrid
- Injured Éder Militão ★ Defender · Muscle injury
- Injured Federico Valverde ★ Midfielder · Ankle injury
- Injured Ibrahima Konaté ★ Defender · Ligament injury
- Injured Kylian Mbappé ★ Attacker · Tendon irritation
- Injured Raúl Asencio ★ Defender · fatigue fracture
- Injured Rodrygo ★ Attacker · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Ferland Mendy Defender · Tendon rupture
- Suspended Dean Huijsen Suspension
Sociedad
- Injured Pablo Marín ★ Midfielder · Muscle injury
- Injured Álvaro Odriozola Defender · Cruciate ligament tear
- Suspended Orri Óskarsson Suspension
Confirmed Lineups
Real Madrid
4-2-3-1
- Federico Valverde
- Denzel Dumfries
- Ibrahima Konaté
- Arda Güler
- Kylian Mbappé
- Thibaut Courtois
- Álvaro Carreras
- Bernardo Silva
- Vinicius Junior
- Dean Huijsen
- Jude Bellingham
Substitutes
- Trent Alexander-Arnold
- Andriy Lunin
- Brahim Díaz
- #26
- Antonio Rüdiger
- Marc Cucurella
- Yan Diomande
Sociedad
4-2-3-1
- Job Ochieng
- Takefusa Kubo
- Jon Martín
- #34
- Luka Sucic
- Mikel Oyarzabal
- Yangel Herrera
- Sergio Gómez
- Beñat Turrientes
- Jon Aramburu
- Álex Remiro
Substitutes
- #29
- Ander Barrenetxea
- #28
- Igor Zubeldia
- Arsen Zakharyan
- Jon Pacheco
- Gonçalo Guedes
Season Stats
7
Played
7
15
Points
10
19
Goals Scored
9
8
Goals Conceded
14
+11
Goal Diff
-5
1
Clean Sheets
1
Head to Head
1 match played
Real Madrid
Draws
Sociedad
Last meeting (14 Feb 2026): 4-1
Prediction vs Result
1X2
1 (58%)
1
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Over (59%)
Over
✓
BTTS
Yes (58%)
Yes
✓
Match Statistics
1
HT Score
1