Porto favoured (58%) Key factors: • The model expects Rio Ave to create significantly more chances (0.7 xG vs 1.6 xG). • Porto are very hard to break down. • Rio Ave are without key goalkeeper Cezary Miszta (Back problems). • Porto are missing key attacker Samu Aghehowa (Cruciate ligament tear). • Playing at home is a factor in Rio Ave's favour. Most likely scoreline: 0-1.