Serie A
— Matchday 3
Roma
2 – 1
Atalanta
1X2
Roma
65.3%
Draw
20.5%
Atalanta
14.2%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
58.5%
Under 2.5
41.6%
BTTS
Both Score
52.8%
No
47.2%
Model Reasoning
Roma favoured (65%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Roma to create significantly more chances (2.1 xG vs 0.9 xG).
• Roma have a potent attack, ranked among the league's best.
• Roma are in excellent form, winning 5 of their last 5 matches.
• Roma are without key defender Devyne Rensch (muscular problems).
• Atalanta are missing key defender Isak Hien (Thigh problems).
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Roma
W
D
W
D
D
Atalanta
W
L
L
L
W
Squad News
Roma
- Injured Bryan Cristante ★ Midfielder · Inflammation in the knee
- Injured Mile Svilar ★ Goalkeeper · Broken finger
Atalanta
- Injured Giacomo Raspadori ★ Attacker · Hamstring injury
- Injured Isak Hien ★ Defender · Thigh problems
- Injured Odilon Kossounou ★ Defender · Hamstring injury
- Injured Thomas Pompei Goalkeeper · Broken hand
Confirmed Lineups
Roma
3-4-1-2
- Bryan Cristante
- Gianluca Mancini
- Donyell Malen
- Paulo Dybala
- Wesley
- Mario Hermoso
- Manu Koné
- Evan Ndicka
- Mile Svilar
- Nahuel Molina
- Matías Soulé
Substitutes
- Konstantinos Koulierakis
- Niccolò Pisilli
- Devyne Rensch
- Leonardo Balerdi
- Giorgio De Marzi
- Marten de Roon
- Santiago Castro
Season Stats
6
Played
6
14
Points
9
14
Goals Scored
8
3
Goals Conceded
8
+11
Goal Diff
+0
4
Clean Sheets
1
Head to Head
1 match played
Roma
Draws
Atalanta
Last meeting (18 Apr 2026): 1-1
Prediction vs Result
1X2
1 (65%)
1
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Over (58%)
Over
✓
BTTS
Yes (53%)
Yes
✓
Match Statistics
0
HT Score
0