Serie A
— Matchday 9
Roma
4 – 2
Cagliari
1X2
Roma
57.9%
Draw
26.2%
Cagliari
15.8%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
43.2%
Under 2.5
56.8%
BTTS
Both Score
43.8%
No
56.2%
Model Reasoning
Roma favoured (58%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Roma to create significantly more chances (1.6 xG vs 0.8 xG).
• Roma have a potent attack, ranked among the league's best.
• Roma are without key midfielder Lorenzo Pellegrini (Hamstring strain).
• Cagliari's attacking numbers are underwhelming.
• Cagliari are without 3 player(s): Harry Winks, Mattia Felici, Riyad Idrissi.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Roma
L
W
W
D
W
Cagliari
W
D
L
L
L
Squad News
Roma
- Injured Lorenzo Pellegrini ★ Midfielder · Hamstring strain
- Injured Manu Koné ★ Midfielder · Hamstring muscle injury
- Injured Mile Svilar ★ Goalkeeper · Broken finger
- Injured Paulo Dybala ★ Attacker · Calf problems
Cagliari
- Injured Harry Winks Midfielder · Lumbago
- Injured Mattia Felici Attacker · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Riyad Idrissi Defender · Cruciate ligament tear
Confirmed Lineups
Roma
3-5-2 flat
- Bryan Cristante
- Konstantinos Koulierakis
- Niccolò Pisilli
- Gianluca Mancini
- Emanuele Lulli
- Evan Ndicka
- Matías Soulé
- Pierluigi Gollini
- Wesley
- Rodrigo Mora
- Donyell Malen
Substitutes
- Devyne Rensch
- Leonardo Balerdi
- Giorgio De Marzi
- Mario Hermoso
- #78
- Devis Vásquez
- Daniele Ghilardi
Cagliari
3-4-2-1
- Zé Pedro
- Adam Obert
- Michel Adopo
- Alieu Fadera
- Alessandro Romano
- Juan Rodríguez
- M'Bala Nzola
- Elia Caprile
- Yukinari Sugawara
- Alessandro Deiola
- Yerry Mina
Substitutes
- Yanis Massolin
- Daniel Maldini
- Paul Mendy
- Alen Sherri
- Yael Trepy
- Boris Radunović
- Giuseppe Aurelio
Season Stats
9
Played
9
21
Points
13
23
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
13
+15
Goal Diff
-5
5
Clean Sheets
3
Head to Head
1 match played
Roma
Draws
Cagliari
Last meeting (9 Feb 2026): 2-0
Prediction vs Result
1X2
Roma (58%)
Roma
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5 (57%)
Over 2.5
✗
BTTS
No (56%)
Both Score
✗
Match Statistics
3.85
xG
2.47
2
HT Score
1