Serie A
— Matchday 1
Roma
4 – 0
Fiorentina
1X2
Roma
64.6%
Draw
22.8%
Fiorentina
12.6%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
52.6%
Under 2.5
47.4%
BTTS
Both Score
48.1%
No
51.9%
Model Reasoning
Roma favoured (65%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Roma to create significantly more chances (2.0 xG vs 0.8 xG).
• Roma are in excellent form, winning 5 of their last 5 matches.
• Roma are without key midfielder Lorenzo Pellegrini (Hamstring injury).
• Fiorentina are missing key defender Fabiano Parisi (Cruciate ligament injury).
• Roma have a potent attack, ranked among the league's best.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Roma
W
W
D
W
D
Fiorentina
L
L
L
W
D
Squad News
Roma
- Injured Bryan Cristante ★ Midfielder · Lumbago
- Injured Donyell Malen ★ Attacker · unknown injury
Fiorentina
- Injured Fabiano Parisi ★ Defender · Cruciate ligament injury
Confirmed Lineups
Roma
3-4-2-1
- Bryan Cristante
- Gianluca Mancini
- Donyell Malen
- Paulo Dybala
- Wesley
- Mario Hermoso
- Manu Koné
- Emanuele Lulli
- Evan Ndicka
- Mile Svilar
- Matías Soulé
Substitutes
- Robinio Vaz
- Konstantinos Koulierakis
- Niccolò Pisilli
- Jan Ziolkowski
- Neil El Aynaoui
- Giorgio De Marzi
- Santiago Castro
Fiorentina
4-3-2-1
- Marco Brescianini
- Franco Mastantuono
- Arthur Atta
- Nicolò Fagioli
- Luca Ranieri
- Radu Drăgușin
- Mateo Pellegrino
- Dodô
- João Mário
- David de Gea
- Cher Ndour
Substitutes
- Viery
- Oliver Christensen
- Víctor Valdepeñas
- Moise Kean
- Giovanni Fabbian
- Marin Pongracic
- Federico Croci
Season Stats
5
Played
5
13
Points
4
14
Goals Scored
6
3
Goals Conceded
12
+11
Goal Diff
-6
3
Clean Sheets
0
Head to Head
1 match played
Roma
Draws
Fiorentina
Last meeting (4 May 2026): 4-0
Prediction vs Result
1X2
1 (65%)
1
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Over (53%)
Over
✓
BTTS
No (52%)
No
✓
Match Statistics
1
HT Score
0