CD Santa Clara favoured (49%) Key factors: • The model expects CD Santa Clara to create significantly more chances (1.5 xG vs 1.0 xG). • Playing at home is a factor in CD Santa Clara's favour. • Nacional's attacking numbers are underwhelming. • Nacional are missing key defender Ivanildo Fernandes (unknown injury). • Nacional return from a 86-day absence and could be ring-rusty. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.