La Liga
— Matchday 3
Sevilla
1 – 3
Ath Madrid
1X2
Sevilla
40.9%
Draw
29.6%
Ath Madrid
29.5%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
46.3%
Under 2.5
53.7%
BTTS
Both Score
52.6%
No
47.4%
Model Reasoning
Sevilla favoured (41%)
Key factors:
• Ath Madrid are missing key attacker Alexander Sørloth (Muscle injury).
• Playing at home is a factor in Sevilla's favour.
• A slight edge in expected goals for Sevilla (1.4 vs 1.1).
• Ath Madrid go with 4-4-2 — Alexander Sørloth not in the XI.
• Sevilla are set up in a 4-2-3-1.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Sevilla
L
D
W
W
L
Ath Madrid
L
L
W
W
W
Squad News
Sevilla
- Injured Lucas Stassin ★ Attacker · Muscle injury
- Injured Rubén Vargas ★ Attacker · Knee problems
- Injured Marcão Defender · Torn thigh muscle
Ath Madrid
- Injured Pablo Barrios ★ Midfielder · Muscle injury
Confirmed Lineups
Sevilla
4-2-3-1
- Peque Fernández
- Juan Iglesias
- Odysseas Vlachodimos
- Gabriel Suazo
- Miguel Sierra
- Julio Díaz
- Robbie Ure
- Kike Salas
- Jon Guridi
- Andrés Castrín
- Lucien Agoumé
Substitutes
- #34
- Manu Bueno
- Fran González
- Isaac Romero
- Giorgi Kochorashvili
- José Ángel Carmona
- Chidera Ejuke
Ath Madrid
4-4-2
- Alejandro Grimaldo
- Dávid Hancko
- Jan Oblak
- Morten Hjulmand
- Giuliano Simeone
- Álex Baena
- Kang-in Lee
- Ademola Lookman
- Pablo Barrios
- Marcos Llorente
- Marc Pubill
Substitutes
- #46
- Rodrigo Mendoza
- #29
- Cristian Romero
- Johnny Cardoso
- Dani Martinez
- José María Giménez
Season Stats
7
Played
7
13
Points
16
10
Goals Scored
16
9
Goals Conceded
7
+1
Goal Diff
+9
2
Clean Sheets
3
Head to Head
1 match played
Sevilla
Draws
Ath Madrid
Last meeting (11 Apr 2026): 2-1
Prediction vs Result
1X2
1 (41%)
2
✗
Over/Under 2.5
Under (54%)
Over
✗
BTTS
Yes (53%)
Yes
✓
Match Statistics
0
HT Score
3