La Liga
— Matchday 5
Sevilla
1 – 0
Valencia
1X2
Sevilla
46%
Draw
29.5%
Valencia
24.5%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
41.5%
Under 2.5
58.6%
BTTS
Both Score
47.2%
No
52.8%
Model Reasoning
Sevilla favoured (46%)
Key factors:
• A slight edge in expected goals for Sevilla (1.4 vs 0.9).
• Sevilla are without key attacker Rubén Vargas (Knee problems).
• Valencia are missing key attacker Diego López (Cruciate ligament tear).
• Playing at home is a factor in Sevilla's favour.
• Sevilla line up in a 4-4-2, without Rubén Vargas in the starting XI.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Sevilla
W
W
L
D
L
Valencia
L
W
L
D
D
Squad News
Sevilla
- Injured Miguel Sierra ★ Attacker · Acromioclavicular joint dislocation
- Injured Jon Guridi Midfielder · Left hip flexor problems
- Injured Marcão Defender · Torn thigh muscle
- Suspended Isaac Romero Suspension
Valencia
- Injured Diego López ★ Attacker · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured José Copete ★ Defender · Meniscus injury
- Injured Dimitri Foulquier Defender · Muscle injury
- Injured Sergi Canós Attacker · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Umar Sadiq Attacker · Hamstring injury
Confirmed Lineups
Sevilla
4-4-2
- Isaac Romero
- Félix Correia
- Juan Iglesias
- Odysseas Vlachodimos
- Gabriel Suazo
- Miguel Sierra
- Kike Salas
- Youssouf Fofana
- Andrés Castrín
- Lucien Agoumé
- Lucas Stassin
Substitutes
- Marcão
- #34
- Manu Bueno
- Peque Fernández
- Fran González
- Giorgi Kochorashvili
- José Ángel Carmona
Valencia
4-4-1-1
- Arnau Martínez
- Pepelu
- Arnaut Danjuma
- Aliou Dieng
- José Gayà
- Stole Dimitrievski
- Ryunosuke Sato
- Filip Ugrinic
- Javi Guerra
- #27
- Iker Córdoba
Substitutes
- Justin de Haas
- Pablo Maffeo
- #37
- #33
- Kayne van Oevelen
- #38
- Hugo Duro
Season Stats
9
Played
9
14
Points
6
14
Goals Scored
6
16
Goals Conceded
15
-2
Goal Diff
-9
2
Clean Sheets
3
Head to Head
1 match played
Sevilla
Draws
Valencia
Last meeting (21 Mar 2026): 0-2
Prediction vs Result
1X2
1 (46%)
1
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Under (59%)
Under
✓
BTTS
No (53%)
No
✓
Match Statistics
0
HT Score
0