La Liga
— Matchday 5
Sevilla
vs
Valencia
1X2
Sevilla
43.9%
Draw
30.6%
Valencia
25.5%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
41.5%
Under 2.5
58.5%
BTTS
Both Score
48%
No
52%
Model Reasoning
Sevilla favoured (44%)
Key factors:
• Valencia are missing key attacker Diego López (Cruciate ligament tear).
• A slight edge in expected goals for Sevilla (1.4 vs 1.0).
• Playing at home is a factor in Sevilla's favour.
• Sevilla have had a long break of 12 days and may take time to find their rhythm.
• Valencia return from a 12-day absence and could be ring-rusty.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Sevilla
L
L
W
W
L
Valencia
W
W
D
L
L
Squad News
Sevilla
No known absences
Valencia
- Injured Diego López ★ Attacker · Cruciate ligament tear
- Injured Justin de Haas ★ Defender · Ankle sprain
- Injured Sergi Canós Attacker · Cruciate ligament tear
Season Stats
3
Played
3
6
Points
1
6
Goals Scored
1
5
Goals Conceded
4
+1
Goal Diff
-3
0
Clean Sheets
1
Head to Head
1 match played
Sevilla
Draws
Valencia
Last meeting (21 Mar 2026): 0-2