Liga Portugal
— Matchday 10
Benfica
vs
Alverca
1X2
Benfica
76.9%
Draw
15%
Alverca
8.2%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64.9%
Under 2.5
35.1%
BTTS
Both Score
48.8%
No
51.2%
Double Chance
Benfica or Draw
91.8%
Benfica or Alverca
85%
Draw or Alverca
23.1%
Draw No Bet
Benfica
90.4%
Alverca
9.6%
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.9%
Under 1.5
15.1%
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
42.9%
Under 3.5
57.1%
Home Team Over/Under 0.5
Benfica scores
92.6%
Benfica fails to score
7.4%
Home Team Over/Under 1.5
Benfica 2+ goals
73.2%
Benfica 0-1 goals
26.8%
Away Team Over/Under 0.5
Alverca scores
52.5%
Alverca fails to score
47.5%
Correct Score
2-0
11.9%
3-0
10.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
Half-Time Result
Benfica at HT
57%
Draw at HT
32.7%
Alverca at HT
10.3%
1st Half Over/Under 0.5
1st half goal
77.1%
No 1st half goal
22.9%
1st Half Over/Under 1.5
1st half Over 1.5
44.1%
1st half Under 1.5
55.9%
Half-Time/Full-Time
Benfica / Benfica
53.3%
Draw / Benfica
20.6%
Draw / Draw
8.9%
Alverca / Alverca
4.2%
Draw / Alverca
3.3%
Alverca / Benfica
3.1%
Benfica / Draw
3.1%
Alverca / Draw
3%
Benfica / Alverca
0.6%
Model Reasoning
Benfica favoured (77%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Benfica to create significantly more chances (2.6 xG vs 0.7 xG).
• Benfica have a potent attack, ranked among the league's best.
• Benfica have one of the tightest defenses in the league.
• Benfica are without key attacker Jakub Kamiński (Muscle injury).
• Benfica are in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Model: dc-v7-comp-mu
Recent Form
Benfica
W
W
L
W
W
Alverca
L
W
W
W
L
Squad News
Benfica
- Injured Jakub Kamiński ★ Attacker · Muscle injury
Alverca
- Injured Julián Martínez Defender · Meniscus tear
- Injured Sabit Abdulai Midfielder · Knee injury
Season Stats
9
Played
9
22
Points
11
26
Goals Scored
13
8
Goals Conceded
13
+18
Goal Diff
+0
4
Clean Sheets
1
Head to Head
1 match played
Benfica
Draws
Alverca
Last meeting (8 Feb 2026): 2-1