Championship
— Matchday 7
Southampton
4 – 1
Bristol City
1X2
Southampton
62.2%
Draw
21.1%
Bristol City
16.7%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67.7%
Under 2.5
32.3%
BTTS
Both Score
63.1%
No
36.9%
Model Reasoning
Southampton favoured (62%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Southampton to create significantly more chances (2.3 xG vs 1.2 xG).
• Southampton have a potent attack, ranked among the league's best.
• Southampton are without key midfielder Caspar Jander (Hamstring injury).
• Playing at home is a factor in Southampton's favour.
• Southampton are in excellent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Southampton
W
L
W
W
D
Bristol City
L
W
D
L
L
Squad News
Southampton
- Injured Caspar Jander ★ Midfielder · Hamstring injury
- Injured Daniel Peretz ★ Goalkeeper · Muscle tear
- Injured Mads Roerslev Defender · Knee injury
- Suspended Ryan Manning Suspension
Bristol City
- Injured Lorent Tolaj ★ Attacker · Muscle injury
- Injured Cameron Pring Defender · Ankle injury
- Injured Luke McNally Defender · Cruciate ligament injury
Season Stats
11
Played
11
21
Points
14
21
Goals Scored
12
10
Goals Conceded
15
+11
Goal Diff
-3
3
Clean Sheets
1
Head to Head
1 match played
Southampton
Draws
Bristol City
Last meeting (21 Apr 2026): 2-2
Prediction vs Result
1X2
1 (62%)
1
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Over (68%)
Over
✓
BTTS
Yes (63%)
Yes
✓
Match Statistics
1
HT Score
0