Southampton favoured (73%) Key factors: • The model expects Southampton to create significantly more chances (2.5 xG vs 0.8 xG). • Southampton have a potent attack, ranked among the league's best. • Stoke are badly out of form, managing just 0 win(s) in their last 5. • Southampton are without key midfielder Finn Azaz (unknown injury). • Playing at home is a factor in Southampton's favour. Most likely scoreline: 2-0.