Liga Portugal
— Matchday 5
Sp Lisbon
2 – 0
Nacional
1X2
Sp Lisbon
80.3%
Draw
12.6%
Nacional
7.1%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74.1%
Under 2.5
25.9%
BTTS
Both Score
54.6%
No
45.4%
Model Reasoning
Sp Lisbon favoured (80%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Sp Lisbon to create significantly more chances (3.0 xG vs 0.8 xG).
• Sp Lisbon have a potent attack, ranked among the league's best.
• Sp Lisbon are in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches.
• Sp Lisbon are defensively solid.
• Playing at home is a factor in Sp Lisbon's favour.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Sp Lisbon
W
W
D
D
W
Nacional
L
L
L
L
L
Squad News
Sp Lisbon
- Suspended Zeno Debast Suspension
Nacional
- Injured Filipe Soares Midfielder · Muscle injury
- Injured Léo Santos Defender · Torn lateral knee ligament
- Injured Ulisses Defender · Broken ankle
- Suspended Matheus Dias Suspension
Confirmed Lineups
Sp Lisbon
4-2-3-1
- Issa Doumbia
- Maxi Araújo
- Sergi Altimira
- Zeno Debast
- Geny Catamo
- Rodrigo Zalazar
- Gonçalo Inácio
- Luis Suárez
- Iván Fresneda
- Flávio Gonçalves
- Rui Silva
Substitutes
- Nestory Irankunda
- Jesse Derry
- Rodrigo Dias
- Georgios Vagiannidis
- Kaique Pereira
- Eduardo Quaresma
- Fotis Ioannidis
Nacional
3-4-2-1
- Markus Jensen
- Stavros Gavriel
- Chico Gonçalves
- Zé Vítor
- Matheus Dias
- Wesley Gasolina
- Léo Santos
- William Kokolo
- Miguel Baeza
- Pablo Ruan
- Renato Marin
Substitutes
- Danel Dongmo
- Matchoi Djaló
- Deivison
- Kevyn
- Allen Obando
- Chiheb Labidi
- Daniel Jr
Season Stats
8
Played
8
18
Points
4
20
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
18
+11
Goal Diff
-9
2
Clean Sheets
1
Head to Head
1 match played
Sp Lisbon
Draws
Nacional
Last meeting (1 Feb 2026): 2-1
Prediction vs Result
1X2
1 (80%)
1
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Over (74%)
Under
✗
BTTS
Yes (55%)
No
✗
Match Statistics
1
HT Score
0