Liga Portugal
— Matchday 5
Sp Lisbon
vs
Nacional
1X2
Sp Lisbon
76.3%
Draw
15.9%
Nacional
7.9%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66.5%
Under 2.5
33.5%
BTTS
Both Score
51.1%
No
48.9%
Model Reasoning
Sp Lisbon favoured (76%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Sp Lisbon to create significantly more chances (2.6 xG vs 0.8 xG).
• Sp Lisbon have a potent attack, ranked among the league's best.
• Sp Lisbon are without key midfielder João Simões (Metatarsal fracture).
• Sp Lisbon are in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches.
• Playing at home is a factor in Sp Lisbon's favour.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Sp Lisbon
W
W
D
W
W
Nacional
L
W
D
W
L
Squad News
Sp Lisbon
- Injured João Simões ★ Midfielder · Metatarsal fracture
- Injured Salvador Blopa Defender · Muscle injury
Nacional
- Injured Ivanildo Fernandes Defender · unknown injury
- Injured Ulisses Defender · unknown injury
Season Stats
3
Played
3
7
Points
4
8
Goals Scored
4
5
Goals Conceded
3
+3
Goal Diff
+1
0
Clean Sheets
1
Head to Head
1 match played
Sp Lisbon
Draws
Nacional
Last meeting (1 Feb 2026): 2-1