Championship
— Matchday 10
Stoke
2 – 3
Middlesbrough
1X2
Stoke
26.7%
Draw
24.5%
Middlesbrough
48.8%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61.2%
Under 2.5
38.8%
BTTS
Both Score
62.5%
No
37.5%
Model Reasoning
Middlesbrough favoured (49%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Stoke to create significantly more chances (1.3 xG vs 1.8 xG).
• Stoke are in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches.
• Middlesbrough carry a decent goal threat.
• Playing at home is a factor in Stoke's favour.
• Middlesbrough arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in 5 of their last 5.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Stoke
W
W
L
W
D
Middlesbrough
D
W
W
D
W
Squad News
Stoke
- Injured Junior Tchamadeu Defender · Knee injury
- Suspended Ethan Galbraith Midfielder · Suspension
Middlesbrough
- Injured Alfie Jones ★ Defender · Calf injury
Season Stats
12
Played
12
20
Points
25
18
Goals Scored
27
16
Goals Conceded
17
+2
Goal Diff
+10
4
Clean Sheets
2
Head to Head
1 match played
Stoke
Draws
Middlesbrough
Last meeting (21 Jan 2026): 1-2
Prediction vs Result
1X2
Middlesbrough (49%)
Middlesbrough
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (61%)
Over 2.5
✓
BTTS
Both Score (63%)
Both Score
✓
Match Statistics
0.62
xG
2.49
0
HT Score
0