Home / Football / Championship / Stoke vs Middlesbrough
Championship — Matchday 10
Stoke
2 – 3
Middlesbrough
Full Time
1X2
26.7%
24.5%
48.8%
Stoke 26.7%
Draw 24.5%
Middlesbrough 48.8%
Over/Under 2.5
61.2%
38.8%
Over 2.5 61.2%
Under 2.5 38.8%
BTTS
62.5%
37.5%
Both Score 62.5%
No 37.5%
Model Reasoning
Middlesbrough favoured (49%) Key factors: • The model expects Stoke to create significantly more chances (1.3 xG vs 1.8 xG). • Stoke are in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. • Middlesbrough carry a decent goal threat. • Playing at home is a factor in Stoke's favour. • Middlesbrough arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in 5 of their last 5. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Stoke
W W L W D
Middlesbrough
D W W D W
Squad News
Stoke
  • Injured Junior Tchamadeu Defender · Knee injury
  • Suspended Ethan Galbraith Midfielder · Suspension
Middlesbrough
  • Injured Alfie Jones ★ Defender · Calf injury
Season Stats
12
Played
12
20
Points
25
18
Goals Scored
27
16
Goals Conceded
17
+2
Goal Diff
+10
4
Clean Sheets
2
Head to Head
1 match played
0
0
1
Stoke Draws Middlesbrough
Last meeting (21 Jan 2026): 1-2
Prediction vs Result
1X2 Middlesbrough (49%) Middlesbrough ✓
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (61%) Over 2.5 ✓
BTTS Both Score (63%) Both Score ✓
Match Statistics
0.62
xG
2.49
0
HT Score
0