Championship
— Matchday 1
Stoke
1 – 2
Swansea
1X2
Stoke
28.4%
Draw
30.5%
Swansea
41.2%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
42.9%
Under 2.5
57.1%
BTTS
Both Score
49.7%
No
50.3%
Model Reasoning
Swansea favoured (41%)
Key factors:
• Stoke are in poor form, with only 0 win(s) from their last 5 matches.
• A slight edge in expected goals for Stoke (1.1 vs 1.3).
• Stoke's attack has been below average.
• Playing at home is a factor in Stoke's favour.
• Swansea have been solid recently, winning 3 of their last 5.
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Stoke
W
W
D
W
W
Swansea
W
D
L
W
W
Squad News
Stoke
- Injured Junior Tchamadeu Defender · Knee injury
- Suspended Ethan Galbraith Suspension
Swansea
- Injured Cameron Burgess Defender · Achilles tendon rupture
- Injured Josh Key Defender · Hamstring muscle injury
- Suspended Filip Lissah Suspension
Confirmed Lineups
Stoke
4-2-3-1
- Viktor Johansson
- Bosun Lawal
- Luke Graham
- Eric-Junior Bocat
- Ben Wilmot
- Ethan Galbraith
- Svante Ingelsson
- Million Manhoef
- Sorba Thomas
- Tomas Rigo
- Sam Gallagher
Substitutes
- Ben Pearson
- Róbert Boženík
- #58
- Maksym Taloverov
- Djibril Soumaré
- Ben Gibson
- Josh Griffiths
Swansea
4-1-4-1
- Lawrence Vigouroux
- Ben Cabango
- Stephen Welsh
- Josh Tymon
- Filip Lissah
- Jay Fulton
- Joseph Opoku
- Moussa Yeo
- Marko Stamenić
- Elijah Just
- Zan Vipotnik
Substitutes
- Tiago Parente
- Ji-sung Eom
- Ronald
- Melker Widell
- Josh Key
- #50
- Andy Fisher
Season Stats
8
Played
8
13
Points
17
13
Goals Scored
13
12
Goals Conceded
6
+1
Goal Diff
+7
2
Clean Sheets
4
Head to Head
1 match played
Stoke
Draws
Swansea
Last meeting (13 Dec 2025): 2-1
Prediction vs Result
1X2
2 (41%)
2
✓
Over/Under 2.5
Under (57%)
Over
✗
BTTS
No (50%)
Yes
✗
Match Statistics
1
HT Score
1