Toulouse favoured (44%) Key factors: • A slight edge in expected goals for Toulouse (1.5 vs 1.1). • Auxerre's defence is depleted with 2 defender(s) missing. • Playing at home is a factor in Toulouse's favour. • Toulouse have had a long break of 244 days and may take time to find their rhythm. • Auxerre return from a 243-day absence and could be ring-rusty. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.