Ligue 1
— Matchday 32
Toulouse
vs
Lorient
1X2
Toulouse
33.8%
Draw
30.7%
Lorient
35.5%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
42.8%
Under 2.5
57.3%
BTTS
Both Score
50.1%
No
49.9%
Model Reasoning
Lorient favoured (36%)
Key factors:
• Playing at home is a factor in Toulouse's favour.
• Toulouse have struggled recently, losing 2 of their last 5 matches.
• Toulouse have had a long break of 245 days and may take time to find their rhythm.
• Lorient return from a 245-day absence and could be ring-rusty.
• Both sides are expected to create similar chances (~1.2 xG each).
Most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Model: dixon-coles-v6-reg
Recent Form
Toulouse
D
L
D
L
D
Lorient
L
D
L
W
D
Season Stats
4
Played
4
2
Points
5
4
Goals Scored
4
7
Goals Conceded
4
-3
Goal Diff
+0
0
Clean Sheets
2
Head to Head
1 match played
Toulouse
Draws
Lorient
Last meeting (21 Mar 2026): 1-0