Union Berlin favoured (45%) Key factors: • A slight edge in expected goals for Union Berlin (1.3 vs 0.8). • Union Berlin are without key attacker Andrej Ilic (Food poisoning). • Werder Bremen are missing key midfielder Jens Stage (Tendon rupture). • Werder Bremen's attacking numbers are underwhelming. • Playing at home is a factor in Union Berlin's favour. Most likely scoreline: 1-1.