Dortmund favoured (65%) Key factors: • The model expects Union Berlin to create significantly more chances (0.8 xG vs 2.0 xG). • Union Berlin are without key attacker Andrej Ilic (Food poisoning). • Dortmund are missing key midfielder Giannis Konstantelias (Cruciate ligament tear). • Dortmund boast one of the strongest attacks in the league. • Playing at home is a factor in Union Berlin's favour. Most likely scoreline: 0-2.