Liga Portugal
— Matchday 11
Guimaraes
vs
Porto
1X2
Guimaraes
22.4%
Draw
29.3%
Porto
48.4%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
35.8%
Under 2.5
64.2%
BTTS
Both Score
41%
No
59%
Double Chance
Guimaraes or Draw
51.6%
Guimaraes or Porto
70.8%
Draw or Porto
77.6%
Draw No Bet
Guimaraes
31.6%
Porto
68.4%
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
63.2%
Under 1.5
36.8%
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
16.7%
Under 3.5
83.3%
Home Team Over/Under 0.5
Guimaraes scores
55.4%
Guimaraes fails to score
44.6%
Home Team Over/Under 1.5
Guimaraes 2+ goals
19.4%
Guimaraes 0-1 goals
80.7%
Away Team Over/Under 0.5
Porto scores
73.4%
Porto fails to score
26.6%
Correct Score
0-1
15.3%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
12.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-0
9.2%
Half-Time Result
Guimaraes at HT
18.2%
Draw at HT
48%
Porto at HT
33.9%
1st Half Over/Under 0.5
1st half goal
61%
No 1st half goal
39.1%
1st Half Over/Under 1.5
1st half Over 1.5
24.8%
1st half Under 1.5
75.2%
Half-Time/Full-Time
Porto / Porto
28.3%
Draw / Draw
20.5%
Draw / Porto
18.2%
Guimaraes / Guimaraes
11.9%
Draw / Guimaraes
9.5%
Porto / Draw
4.4%
Guimaraes / Draw
4.4%
Guimaraes / Porto
1.9%
Porto / Guimaraes
1%
Model Reasoning
Porto favoured (48%)
Key factors:
• The model expects Guimaraes to create significantly more chances (0.8 xG vs 1.3 xG).
• Porto are very hard to break down.
• Porto are missing key attacker William Gomes (Ankle sprain).
• Porto boast one of the strongest attacks in the league.
• Playing at home is a factor in Guimaraes's favour.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Model: dc-v7-comp-mu
Recent Form
Guimaraes
D
L
D
L
W
Porto
W
W
L
L
W
Squad News
Guimaraes
- Suspended Alioune Ndoye Attacker · Suspension
Porto
- Injured William Gomes ★ Attacker · Ankle sprain
- Injured Vasco Sousa Midfielder · Broken fibula
Season Stats
9
Played
9
8
Points
27
10
Goals Scored
21
10
Goals Conceded
4
+0
Goal Diff
+17
3
Clean Sheets
5
Head to Head
5 matches played
Guimaraes
Draws
Porto
Last meeting (18 Jan 2026): 0-1