Wrexham favoured (65%) Key factors: • The model expects Wrexham to create significantly more chances (2.3 xG vs 1.1 xG). • Burnley's defense has been a weak point. • Burnley's attacking numbers are underwhelming. • Playing at home is a factor in Wrexham's favour. • Wrexham's defense has been below par. Most likely scoreline: 2-1.