Rally Estonia
Finished
18 / 18 stages completed
Winner: Sami Pajari
Predictions
Rally Winner
Podium Probability
Model Reasoning
Sébastien Ogier is in the mix (15%). Average Elo rating on gravel (1500), an outside contender. No previous experience at this rally.
Prediction Accuracy
Market
Rally Winner
Predicted
Sébastien Ogier (15%)
Actual
Sami Pajari
Result
✗ Incorrect
Overall Classification WRC1
| Pos | Driver / Co-Driver | Team | Time | Gap | PS | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sami Pajari
Marko Salminen
|
Toyota | 2:31:16.5 | 28.0 | ||
| 2 |
Oliver Solberg
Elliott Edmondson
|
Toyota | 2:31:36.0 | +19.5s | P 1 | 27.0 |
| 3 |
Adrien Fourmaux
Alexandre Coria
|
Hyundai | 2:32:10.3 | +53.8s | 16.0 | |
| 4 |
Thierry Neuville
Martijn Wydaeghe
|
Hyundai | 2:32:16.2 | +59.7s | P 2 | 16.0 |
| 5 |
Sébastien Ogier
Vincent Landais
|
Toyota | 2:32:49.4 | +1:32.9 | P 4 | 14.0 |
| 6 |
Elfyn Evans
Scott Martin
|
Toyota | 2:33:17.5 | +2:01.0 | P 3 | 15.0 |
| 7 |
Mārtiņš Sesks
Renārs Francis
|
M-Sport | 2:33:51.8 | +2:35.3 | 6.0 | |
| 8 |
Esapekka Lappi
Enni Mälkönen
|
Hyundai | 2:34:18.8 | +3:02.3 | 4.0 | |
| 9 |
Jon Armstrong
Shane Byrne
|
M-Sport | 2:34:44.5 | +3:28.0 | 3.0 | |
| 21 |
Takamoto Katsuta
Aaron Johnston
|
Toyota | 2:44:40.1 | +13:23.6 | P 5 | 1.0 |
| 43 |
Joshua Mcerlean
Eoin Treacy
|
M-Sport | 3:53:11.5 | +81:55.0 |
WRC2 Classification
| Pos | Driver / Co-Driver | Time | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Robert Virves
Jakko Viilo
|
2:39:49.6 | +8:33.1 |
| 11 |
Teemu Suninen
Janni Hussi
|
2:39:57.2 | +8:40.7 |
| 12 |
Roope Korhonen
Anssi Viinikka
|
2:39:58.4 | +8:41.9 |
| 13 |
Emil Lindholm
Gabriel Morales
|
2:40:40.9 | +9:24.4 |
| 14 |
Mille Johansson
Johan Grönvall
|
2:41:38.0 | +10:21.5 |
| 15 |
Patrick Enok
Silver Simm
|
2:41:52.0 | +10:35.5 |
| 16 |
Karl Martin Volver
Annika Sõna
|
2:42:01.0 | +10:44.5 |
| 17 |
Lauri Joona
Antti Linnaketo
|
2:42:01.1 | +10:44.6 |
| 18 |
Romet Jürgenson
Siim Oja
|
2:42:03.5 | +10:47.0 |
| 19 |
Joosep Ralf Nõgene
Aleks Lesk
|
2:42:20.5 | +11:04.0 |
Stage Results
SS 1
Raanitsa 1
21.45 km
✓
1
Pajari
Toyota
10:04.0
2
Fourmaux
Hyundai
10:06.4
+2.4s
3
Solberg
Toyota
10:06.6
+2.6s
4
Ogier
Toyota
10:07.8
+3.8s
5
Neuville
Hyundai
10:08.1
+4.1s
SS 2
Karaski 1
11.97 km
✓
1
Evans
Toyota
6:03.7
SS 3
Kanepi 1
17.43 km
✓
1
Evans
Toyota
8:36.6
2
Pajari
Toyota
14:22.8
+346.2s
3
Solberg
Toyota
14:24.3
+347.7s
4
Fourmaux
Hyundai
14:25.3
+348.7s
5
Sesks
M-Sport
14:26.4
+349.8s
SS 4
Raanitsa 2
21.45 km
✓
1
Evans
Toyota
9:56.6
2
Katsuta
Toyota
9:57.2
+0.6s
SS 5
Karaski 2
11.97 km
✓
1
Katsuta
Toyota
5:52.6
2
Evans
Toyota
5:53.2
+0.6s
3
Pajari
Toyota
15:38.1
+585.5s
4
Fourmaux
Hyundai
15:44.9
+592.3s
5
Solberg
Toyota
15:45.1
+592.5s
SS 6
Kanepi 2
17.43 km
✓
1
Pajari
Toyota
8:12.4
2
Solberg
Toyota
8:15.4
+3.0s
3
Fourmaux
Hyundai
8:16.4
+4.0s
4
Neuville
Hyundai
8:16.4
+4.0s
5
Sesks
M-Sport
8:16.4
+4.0s
SS 7
Elva linn
1.72 km
✓
1
Pajari
Toyota
1:26.2
2
Neuville
Hyundai
1:26.4
+0.2s
3
Solberg
Toyota
1:26.8
+0.6s
4
Fourmaux
Hyundai
1:27.0
+0.8s
5
Ogier
Toyota
1:27.1
+0.9s
SS 8
Peipsiääre 1
24.35 km
✓
1
Pajari
Toyota
12:58.2
2
Solberg
Toyota
12:59.8
+1.6s
3
Fourmaux
Hyundai
13:06.0
+7.8s
4
Neuville
Hyundai
13:09.9
+11.7s
5
Ogier
Toyota
13:10.9
+12.7s
SS 9
Mustvee 1
10.67 km
✓
1
Katsuta
Toyota
5:35.8
2
Armstrong
M-Sport
5:37.8
+2.0s
SS 10
Peipsiääre 2
24.35 km
✓
1
Armstrong
M-Sport
13:04.1
2
Katsuta
Toyota
13:04.7
+0.6s
3
Solberg
Toyota
18:17.8
+313.7s
4
Pajari
Toyota
18:19.8
+315.7s
5
Neuville
Hyundai
18:26.6
+322.5s
SS 11
Mustvee 2
10.67 km
✓
1
Solberg
Toyota
5:19.9
2
Pajari
Toyota
5:20.1
+0.2s
3
Neuville
Hyundai
5:22.2
+2.3s
4
Ogier
Toyota
5:24.4
+4.5s
5
Katsuta
Toyota
5:24.6
+4.7s
SS 12
Kambja 1
23.74 km
✓
1
Pajari
Toyota
12:36.2
2
Solberg
Toyota
12:40.2
+4.0s
3
Fourmaux
Hyundai
12:41.3
+5.1s
4
Neuville
Hyundai
12:43.2
+7.0s
5
Ogier
Toyota
12:46.5
+10.3s
SS 13
Otepää 1
15.16 km
✓
1
Pajari
Toyota
7:45.1
2
Solberg
Toyota
7:48.4
+3.3s
3
Neuville
Hyundai
7:48.9
+3.8s
4
Fourmaux
Hyundai
7:49.2
+4.1s
5
Ogier
Toyota
7:55.4
+10.3s
SS 14
Kambja 2
23.74 km
✓
1
Pajari
Toyota
12:23.6
2
Neuville
Hyundai
12:24.7
+1.1s
3
Fourmaux
Hyundai
12:25.8
+2.2s
4
Solberg
Toyota
12:28.0
+4.4s
5
Ogier
Toyota
12:28.7
+5.1s
SS 15
Otepää 2
15.16 km
✓
1
Neuville
Hyundai
7:38.5
2
Pajari
Toyota
7:40.8
+2.3s
3
Solberg
Toyota
7:40.8
+2.3s
4
Ogier
Toyota
7:41.9
+3.4s
5
Fourmaux
Hyundai
7:42.7
+4.2s
SS 16
Tartu vald
1.76 km
✓
1
Solberg
Toyota
1:45.9
2
Fourmaux
Hyundai
1:46.5
+0.6s
3
Neuville
Hyundai
1:46.5
+0.6s
4
Pajari
Toyota
1:46.7
+0.8s
5
Ogier
Toyota
1:48.3
+2.4s
SS 17
Kääriku 1
24.39 km
✓
1
Solberg
Toyota
11:25.1
2
Pajari
Toyota
11:25.5
+0.4s
3
Fourmaux
Hyundai
11:26.2
+1.1s
4
Evans
Toyota
11:26.2
+1.1s
5
Ogier
Toyota
11:27.8
+2.7s
SS 18
Wolf Powerstage Kääriku 2
24.39 km
✓
1
Evans
Toyota
11:14.4
2
Ogier
Toyota
11:14.8
+0.4s
3
Katsuta
Toyota
11:16.0
+1.6s
4
Lappi
Hyundai
11:20.2
+5.8s
5
Sesks
M-Sport
11:24.7
+10.3s
Driver History — Rally Estonia
| Driver | App. | Wins | Podiums | Avg Pos | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sami Pajari | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | P1 |
| Oliver Solberg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | P2 |
| Adrien Fourmaux | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3.0 | P3 |
| Thierry Neuville | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.0 | P4 |
| Sébastien Ogier | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.0 | P5 |
| Elfyn Evans | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.0 | P6 |
| Mārtiņš Sesks | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 | P7 |
| Esapekka Lappi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.0 | P8 |
| Jon Armstrong | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9.0 | P9 |
| Takamoto Katsuta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21.0 | P21 |