FORUM8 Rally Japan
Finished
20 / 20 stages completed
Winner: Elfyn Evans
Predictions
Rally Winner
Podium Probability
Model Reasoning
Elfyn Evans is in the mix (13%). Average Elo rating on asphalt (1500), an outside contender. No previous experience at this rally.
Prediction Accuracy
Market
Rally Winner
Predicted
Elfyn Evans (13%)
Actual
Elfyn Evans
Result
✓ Correct
Overall Classification WRC1
| Pos | Driver / Co-Driver | Team | Time | Gap | PS | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Elfyn Evans
Scott Martin
|
Toyota | 3:17:08.0 | P 5 | 28,0 | |
| 2 |
Sébastien Ogier
Vincent Landais
|
Toyota | 3:17:20.8 | +12,8s | P 3 | 23,0 |
| 3 |
Sami Pajari
Marko Salminen
|
Toyota | 3:17:59.4 | +51,4s | P 4 | 18,0 |
| 4 |
Takamoto Katsuta
Aaron Johnston
|
Toyota | 3:18:11.5 | +1:03.5 | P 2 | 20,0 |
| 5 |
Adrien Fourmaux
Alexandre Coria
|
Hyundai | 3:19:42.8 | +2:34.8 | 10,0 | |
| 6 |
Thierry Neuville
Martijn Wydaeghe
|
Hyundai | 3:20:21.6 | +3:13.6 | 8,0 | |
| 7 |
Hayden Paddon
John Kennard
|
Hyundai | 3:21:52.8 | +4:44.8 | 6,0 | |
| 8 |
Jon Armstrong
Shane Byrne
|
M-Sport | 3:22:53.2 | +5:45.2 | 4,0 | |
| 10 |
Joshua Mcerlean
Eoin Treacy
|
M-Sport | 3:26:31.0 | +9:23.0 | 1,0 | |
| 21 |
Oliver Solberg
Elliott Edmondson
|
Toyota | 4:06:51.6 | +49:43.6 | P 1 | 10,0 |
WRC2 Classification
| Pos | Driver / Co-Driver | Time | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Nikolay Gryazin
Konstantin Aleksandrov
|
3:26:29.3 | +9:21.3 |
| 11 |
Alejandro Cachón
Borja Rozada
|
3:26:47.6 | +9:39.6 |
| 12 |
Yuki Yamamoto
James Fulton
|
3:29:23.7 | +12:15.7 |
| 13 |
Emil Lindholm
Gabriel Morales
|
3:30:19.6 | +13:11.6 |
| 14 |
Romet Jürgenson
Siim Oja
|
3:30:46.1 | +13:38.1 |
| 15 |
Hiroki Arai
Hiroki Tachikui
|
3:34:06.9 | +16:58.9 |
| 16 |
Norihiko Katsuta
Takahiro Yasui
|
3:40:41.4 | +23:33.4 |
| 17 |
Fumio Nutahara
Shungo Azuma
|
3:44:46.3 | +27:38.3 |
| 18 |
Ghjuvanni Rossi
Kylian Sarmezan
|
3:45:52.5 | +28:44.5 |
| 19 |
Andrea Lafarja
Andrés Blanco
|
4:00:35.3 | +43:27.3 |
Stage Results
SS 1
Asuke 1
12,90 km
✓
1
Solberg
Toyota
7:29.0
2
Pajari
Toyota
7:29.2
+0,2s
3
Ogier
Toyota
7:29.9
+0,9s
4
Evans
Toyota
7:30.1
+1,1s
5
Neuville
Hyundai
7:31.2
+2,2s
SS 2
Isegami's Tunnel 1
24,29 km
✓
1
Evans
Toyota
19:00.2
2
Solberg
Toyota
19:07.7
+7,5s
3
Ogier
Toyota
19:16.9
+16,7s
4
Neuville
Hyundai
19:22.8
+22,6s
5
Katsuta
Toyota
19:26.1
+25,9s
SS 3
Inabu/Shitara 1
17,08 km
✓
1
Evans
Toyota
10:42.9
2
Ogier
Toyota
10:44.6
+1,7s
3
Neuville
Hyundai
10:47.8
+4,9s
4
Pajari
Toyota
10:49.9
+7,0s
5
Solberg
Toyota
10:54.2
+11,3s
SS 4
Asuke 2
12,90 km
✓
1
Solberg
Toyota
7:10.5
2
Ogier
Toyota
7:11.7
+1,2s
3
Evans
Toyota
7:13.1
+2,6s
4
Pajari
Toyota
7:14.6
+4,1s
5
Fourmaux
Hyundai
7:16.3
+5,8s
SS 5
Isegami's Tunnel 2
24,29 km
✓
1
Evans
Toyota
18:15.0
2
Solberg
Toyota
18:16.1
+1,1s
3
Ogier
Toyota
18:17.8
+2,8s
4
Pajari
Toyota
18:25.7
+10,7s
5
Katsuta
Toyota
18:28.0
+13,0s
SS 6
Inabu/Shitara 2
17,08 km
✓
1
Pajari
Toyota
10:22.8
2
Ogier
Toyota
10:23.2
+0,4s
3
Solberg
Toyota
10:25.2
+2,4s
4
Evans
Toyota
10:25.7
+2,9s
5
Katsuta
Toyota
10:27.8
+5,0s
SS 7
Obara 1
16,44 km
✓
1
Solberg
Toyota
9:59.5
2
Evans
Toyota
10:02.7
+3,2s
3
Ogier
Toyota
10:04.3
+4,8s
4
Katsuta
Toyota
10:05.0
+5,5s
5
Pajari
Toyota
10:05.4
+5,9s
SS 8
Ena 1
21,16 km
✓
1
Evans
Toyota
15:00.3
2
Solberg
Toyota
15:01.7
+1,4s
3
Ogier
Toyota
15:02.7
+2,4s
4
Katsuta
Toyota
15:03.7
+3,4s
5
Pajari
Toyota
15:06.1
+5,8s
SS 9
Mt. Kasagi 1
19,32 km
✓
1
Solberg
Toyota
12:34.7
2
Ogier
Toyota
12:37.0
+2,3s
3
Evans
Toyota
12:38.0
+3,3s
4
Katsuta
Toyota
12:39.4
+4,7s
5
Pajari
Toyota
12:40.5
+5,8s
SS 10
Mt. Kasagi 2
19,32 km
✓
1
Ogier
Toyota
12:30.2
2
Katsuta
Toyota
12:31.1
+0,9s
3
Pajari
Toyota
12:32.0
+1,8s
4
Evans
Toyota
12:35.7
+5,5s
5
Fourmaux
Hyundai
12:40.4
+10,2s
SS 11
Ena 2
21,16 km
✓
1
Pajari
Toyota
14:58.1
2
Evans
Toyota
15:00.2
+2,1s
3
Katsuta
Toyota
15:01.7
+3,6s
4
Ogier
Toyota
15:03.3
+5,2s
5
Fourmaux
Hyundai
15:11.4
+13,3s
SS 12
Obara 2
16,44 km
✓
1
Evans
Toyota
9:59.7
2
Pajari
Toyota
10:00.4
+0,7s
3
Ogier
Toyota
10:02.0
+2,3s
4
Katsuta
Toyota
10:02.5
+2,8s
5
Fourmaux
Hyundai
10:07.2
+7,5s
SS 13
Fujioka SSS 1
3,19 km
✓
1
Pajari
Toyota
1:50.4
2
Ogier
Toyota
1:50.8
+0,4s
3
Evans
Toyota
1:51.7
+1,3s
4
Neuville
Hyundai
1:51.9
+1,5s
5
Katsuta
Toyota
1:52.5
+2,1s
SS 14
Fujioka SSS 2
3,19 km
✓
1
Pajari
Toyota
1:48.6
2
Ogier
Toyota
1:49.0
+0,4s
3
Neuville
Hyundai
1:49.9
+1,3s
4
Katsuta
Toyota
1:50.2
+1,6s
5
Evans
Toyota
1:50.3
+1,7s
SS 15
Nukata 1
20,49 km
✓
1
Solberg
Toyota
11:52.4
2
Evans
Toyota
11:54.5
+2,1s
3
Katsuta
Toyota
11:54.9
+2,5s
4
Ogier
Toyota
11:57.1
+4,7s
5
Pajari
Toyota
12:00.8
+8,4s
SS 16
Lake Mikawako 1
13,98 km
✓
1
Katsuta
Toyota
8:40.8
2
Ogier
Toyota
8:40.9
+0,1s
3
Solberg
Toyota
8:41.0
+0,2s
4
Pajari
Toyota
8:42.5
+1,7s
5
Evans
Toyota
8:43.5
+2,7s
SS 17
Kuragaike SSS 1
2,56 km
✓
1
Ogier
Toyota
1:55.8
2
Katsuta
Toyota
1:56.2
+0,4s
3
Solberg
Toyota
1:56.2
+0,4s
4
Pajari
Toyota
1:56.4
+0,6s
5
Neuville
Hyundai
1:56.7
+0,9s
SS 18
Kuragaike SSS 2
2,56 km
✓
1
Ogier
Toyota
1:54.5
2
Solberg
Toyota
1:55.2
+0,7s
3
Evans
Toyota
1:55.6
+1,1s
4
Pajari
Toyota
1:56.0
+1,5s
5
Katsuta
Toyota
1:56.0
+1,5s
SS 19
Nukata 2
20,49 km
✓
1
Solberg
Toyota
11:45.0
2
Katsuta
Toyota
11:49.4
+4,4s
3
Ogier
Toyota
11:50.6
+5,6s
4
Evans
Toyota
11:52.8
+7,8s
5
Pajari
Toyota
11:54.8
+9,8s
SS 20
Lake Mikawako 2 Wolf Power Stage
13,98 km
✓
1
Solberg
Toyota
8:36.2
2
Katsuta
Toyota
8:37.3
+1,1s
3
Ogier
Toyota
8:38.5
+2,3s
4
Pajari
Toyota
8:38.9
+2,7s
5
Evans
Toyota
8:39.0
+2,8s
Driver History — Rally Japan
| Driver | App. | Wins | Podiums | Avg Pos | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elfyn Evans | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1,0 | P1 |
| Sébastien Ogier | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2,0 | P2 |
| Sami Pajari | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3,0 | P3 |
| Takamoto Katsuta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4,0 | P4 |
| Adrien Fourmaux | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5,0 | P5 |
| Thierry Neuville | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6,0 | P6 |
| Hayden Paddon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7,0 | P7 |
| Jon Armstrong | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8,0 | P8 |
| Joshua Mcerlean | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10,0 | P10 |
| Oliver Solberg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21,0 | P21 |