Home / WRC / FORUM8 Rally Japan

FORUM8 Rally Japan

2026 Japan Asphalt
Finished
20 / 20 stages completed
Winner: Elfyn Evans

Predictions

Rally Winner

Elfyn Evans
13%
Sébastien Ogier
12%
Thierry Neuville
10%
Joshua Mcerlean
10%
Jon Armstrong
10%
Hayden Paddon
10%
Oliver Solberg
10%
Takamoto Katsuta
9%
Adrien Fourmaux
9%
Sami Pajari
8%

Podium Probability

Elfyn Evans
39%
Sébastien Ogier
35%
Oliver Solberg
30%
Jon Armstrong
30%
Hayden Paddon
29%
Joshua Mcerlean
29%
Thierry Neuville
28%
Takamoto Katsuta
28%
Sami Pajari
26%
Adrien Fourmaux
26%

Model Reasoning

Elfyn Evans is in the mix (13%). Average Elo rating on asphalt (1500), an outside contender. No previous experience at this rally.

Prediction Accuracy

Market Rally Winner
Predicted Elfyn Evans (13%)
Actual Elfyn Evans
Result ✓ Correct

Overall Classification WRC1

Pos Driver / Co-Driver Team Time Gap PS Pts
1
Elfyn Evans
Scott Martin
 Toyota 3:17:08.0 P 5 28.0
2
Sébastien Ogier
Vincent Landais
 Toyota 3:17:20.8 +12.8s P 3 23.0
3
Sami Pajari
Marko Salminen
 Toyota 3:17:59.4 +51.4s P 4 18.0
4
Takamoto Katsuta
Aaron Johnston
 Toyota 3:18:11.5 +1:03.5 P 2 20.0
5
Adrien Fourmaux
Alexandre Coria
 Hyundai 3:19:42.8 +2:34.8 10.0
6
Thierry Neuville
Martijn Wydaeghe
 Hyundai 3:20:21.6 +3:13.6 8.0
7
Hayden Paddon
John Kennard
 Hyundai 3:21:52.8 +4:44.8 6.0
8
Jon Armstrong
Shane Byrne
 M-Sport 3:22:53.2 +5:45.2 4.0
10
Joshua Mcerlean
Eoin Treacy
 M-Sport 3:26:31.0 +9:23.0 1.0
21
Oliver Solberg
Elliott Edmondson
 Toyota 4:06:51.6 +49:43.6 P 1 10.0

WRC2 Classification

Pos Driver / Co-Driver Time Gap
9
Nikolay Gryazin
Konstantin Aleksandrov
 3:26:29.3 +9:21.3
11
Alejandro Cachón
Borja Rozada
 3:26:47.6 +9:39.6
12
Yuki Yamamoto
James Fulton
 3:29:23.7 +12:15.7
13
Emil Lindholm
Gabriel Morales
 3:30:19.6 +13:11.6
14
Romet Jürgenson
Siim Oja
 3:30:46.1 +13:38.1
15
Hiroki Arai
Hiroki Tachikui
 3:34:06.9 +16:58.9
16
Norihiko Katsuta
Takahiro Yasui
 3:40:41.4 +23:33.4
17
Fumio Nutahara
Shungo Azuma
 3:44:46.3 +27:38.3
18
Ghjuvanni Rossi
Kylian Sarmezan
 3:45:52.5 +28:44.5
19
Andrea Lafarja
Andrés Blanco
 4:00:35.3 +43:27.3

Stage Results

SS 1
Asuke 1 12.90 km
✓
1 Solberg Toyota 7:29.0
2 Pajari Toyota 7:29.2 +0.2s
3 Ogier Toyota 7:29.9 +0.9s
4 Evans Toyota 7:30.1 +1.1s
5 Neuville Hyundai 7:31.2 +2.2s
SS 2
Isegami's Tunnel 1 24.29 km
✓
1 Evans Toyota 19:00.2
2 Solberg Toyota 19:07.7 +7.5s
3 Ogier Toyota 19:16.9 +16.7s
4 Neuville Hyundai 19:22.8 +22.6s
5 Katsuta Toyota 19:26.1 +25.9s
SS 3
Inabu/Shitara 1 17.08 km
✓
1 Evans Toyota 10:42.9
2 Ogier Toyota 10:44.6 +1.7s
3 Neuville Hyundai 10:47.8 +4.9s
4 Pajari Toyota 10:49.9 +7.0s
5 Solberg Toyota 10:54.2 +11.3s
SS 4
Asuke 2 12.90 km
✓
1 Solberg Toyota 7:10.5
2 Ogier Toyota 7:11.7 +1.2s
3 Evans Toyota 7:13.1 +2.6s
4 Pajari Toyota 7:14.6 +4.1s
5 Fourmaux Hyundai 7:16.3 +5.8s
SS 5
Isegami's Tunnel 2 24.29 km
✓
1 Evans Toyota 18:15.0
2 Solberg Toyota 18:16.1 +1.1s
3 Ogier Toyota 18:17.8 +2.8s
4 Pajari Toyota 18:25.7 +10.7s
5 Katsuta Toyota 18:28.0 +13.0s
SS 6
Inabu/Shitara 2 17.08 km
✓
1 Pajari Toyota 10:22.8
2 Ogier Toyota 10:23.2 +0.4s
3 Solberg Toyota 10:25.2 +2.4s
4 Evans Toyota 10:25.7 +2.9s
5 Katsuta Toyota 10:27.8 +5.0s
SS 7
Obara 1 16.44 km
✓
1 Solberg Toyota 9:59.5
2 Evans Toyota 10:02.7 +3.2s
3 Ogier Toyota 10:04.3 +4.8s
4 Katsuta Toyota 10:05.0 +5.5s
5 Pajari Toyota 10:05.4 +5.9s
SS 8
Ena 1 21.16 km
✓
1 Evans Toyota 15:00.3
2 Solberg Toyota 15:01.7 +1.4s
3 Ogier Toyota 15:02.7 +2.4s
4 Katsuta Toyota 15:03.7 +3.4s
5 Pajari Toyota 15:06.1 +5.8s
SS 9
Mt. Kasagi 1 19.32 km
✓
1 Solberg Toyota 12:34.7
2 Ogier Toyota 12:37.0 +2.3s
3 Evans Toyota 12:38.0 +3.3s
4 Katsuta Toyota 12:39.4 +4.7s
5 Pajari Toyota 12:40.5 +5.8s
SS 10
Mt. Kasagi 2 19.32 km
✓
1 Ogier Toyota 12:30.2
2 Katsuta Toyota 12:31.1 +0.9s
3 Pajari Toyota 12:32.0 +1.8s
4 Evans Toyota 12:35.7 +5.5s
5 Fourmaux Hyundai 12:40.4 +10.2s
SS 11
Ena 2 21.16 km
✓
1 Pajari Toyota 14:58.1
2 Evans Toyota 15:00.2 +2.1s
3 Katsuta Toyota 15:01.7 +3.6s
4 Ogier Toyota 15:03.3 +5.2s
5 Fourmaux Hyundai 15:11.4 +13.3s
SS 12
Obara 2 16.44 km
✓
1 Evans Toyota 9:59.7
2 Pajari Toyota 10:00.4 +0.7s
3 Ogier Toyota 10:02.0 +2.3s
4 Katsuta Toyota 10:02.5 +2.8s
5 Fourmaux Hyundai 10:07.2 +7.5s
SS 13
Fujioka SSS 1 3.19 km
✓
1 Pajari Toyota 1:50.4
2 Ogier Toyota 1:50.8 +0.4s
3 Evans Toyota 1:51.7 +1.3s
4 Neuville Hyundai 1:51.9 +1.5s
5 Katsuta Toyota 1:52.5 +2.1s
SS 14
Fujioka SSS 2 3.19 km
✓
1 Pajari Toyota 1:48.6
2 Ogier Toyota 1:49.0 +0.4s
3 Neuville Hyundai 1:49.9 +1.3s
4 Katsuta Toyota 1:50.2 +1.6s
5 Evans Toyota 1:50.3 +1.7s
SS 15
Nukata 1 20.49 km
✓
1 Solberg Toyota 11:52.4
2 Evans Toyota 11:54.5 +2.1s
3 Katsuta Toyota 11:54.9 +2.5s
4 Ogier Toyota 11:57.1 +4.7s
5 Pajari Toyota 12:00.8 +8.4s
SS 16
Lake Mikawako 1 13.98 km
✓
1 Katsuta Toyota 8:40.8
2 Ogier Toyota 8:40.9 +0.1s
3 Solberg Toyota 8:41.0 +0.2s
4 Pajari Toyota 8:42.5 +1.7s
5 Evans Toyota 8:43.5 +2.7s
SS 17
Kuragaike SSS 1 2.56 km
✓
1 Ogier Toyota 1:55.8
2 Katsuta Toyota 1:56.2 +0.4s
3 Solberg Toyota 1:56.2 +0.4s
4 Pajari Toyota 1:56.4 +0.6s
5 Neuville Hyundai 1:56.7 +0.9s
SS 18
Kuragaike SSS 2 2.56 km
✓
1 Ogier Toyota 1:54.5
2 Solberg Toyota 1:55.2 +0.7s
3 Evans Toyota 1:55.6 +1.1s
4 Pajari Toyota 1:56.0 +1.5s
5 Katsuta Toyota 1:56.0 +1.5s
SS 19
Nukata 2 20.49 km
✓
1 Solberg Toyota 11:45.0
2 Katsuta Toyota 11:49.4 +4.4s
3 Ogier Toyota 11:50.6 +5.6s
4 Evans Toyota 11:52.8 +7.8s
5 Pajari Toyota 11:54.8 +9.8s
SS 20
Lake Mikawako 2 Wolf Power Stage 13.98 km
✓
1 Solberg Toyota 8:36.2
2 Katsuta Toyota 8:37.3 +1.1s
3 Ogier Toyota 8:38.5 +2.3s
4 Pajari Toyota 8:38.9 +2.7s
5 Evans Toyota 8:39.0 +2.8s

Driver History — Rally Japan

Driver App. Wins Podiums Avg Pos Best
Elfyn Evans 1 1 1 1.0 P1
Sébastien Ogier 1 0 1 2.0 P2
Sami Pajari 1 0 1 3.0 P3
Takamoto Katsuta 1 0 0 4.0 P4
Adrien Fourmaux 1 0 0 5.0 P5
Thierry Neuville 1 0 0 6.0 P6
Hayden Paddon 1 0 0 7.0 P7
Jon Armstrong 1 0 0 8.0 P8
Joshua Mcerlean 1 0 0 10.0 P10
Oliver Solberg 1 0 0 21.0 P21