F1 Drivers' Championship 2026
Updated after: British Grand Prix
Probability Evolution
Current Standings & Predictions
| # | Driver | Points | Win Prob | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANT Kimi Antonelli | 179,0 |
99,9%
|
-0,1% |
| 2 | HAM Lewis Hamilton | 147,0 |
0,1%
|
+0,1% |
| 3 | LIN Arvid Lindblad | 21,0 |
0,0%
|
0,0% |
| 4 | BOR Gabriel Bortoleto | 6,0 |
0,0%
|
0,0% |
| 5 | GAS Pierre Gasly | 33,0 |
0,0%
|
0,0% |
| 6 | OCO Esteban Ocon | 3,0 |
0,0%
|
0,0% |
| 7 | ALB Alexander Albon | 5,0 |
0,0%
|
0,0% |
| 8 | LAW Liam Lawson | 39,0 |
0,0%
|
0,0% |
| 9 | COL Franco Colapinto | 21,0 |
0,0%
|
0,0% |
| 10 | SAI Carlos Sainz | 6,0 |
0,0%
|
0,0% |
| 11 | RUS George Russell | 154,0 |
0,0%
|
0,0% |
| 12 | LEC Charles Leclerc | 108,0 |
0,0%
|
0,0% |
| 13 | NOR Lando Norris | 97,0 |
0,0%
|
0,0% |
| 14 | VER Max Verstappen | 76,0 |
0,0%
|
0,0% |
| 15 | BEA Oliver Bearman | 18,0 |
0,0%
|
0,0% |
| 16 | PER Sergio Perez | 1,0 |
0,0%
|
0,0% |
| 17 | STR Lance Stroll | 0,0 |
0,0%
|
0,0% |
| 18 | ALO Fernando Alonso | 0,0 |
0,0%
|
0,0% |
| 19 | BOT Valtteri Bottas | 0,0 |
0,0%
|
0,0% |
| 20 | HAD Isack Hadjar | 55,0 |
0,0%
|
0,0% |
| 21 | PIA Oscar Piastri | 84,0 |
0,0%
|
0,0% |
| 22 | HUL Nico Hulkenberg | 0,0 |
0,0%
|
0,0% |
Analysis
Kimi Antonelli
99,9%
Driver 164 is the clear favourite for the championship (100%). Currently leads the championship with 171 points. Only 0 win(s) in 8 races — needs to find another gear.
Lewis Hamilton
0,1%
Driver 167's title chances are slim (0.1%). A 46-point deficit requires consistent top results to overcome. Only 0 win(s) in 8 races — needs to find another gear.
Arvid Lindblad
0,0%
Driver 174's title chances are slim (0.0%). A 156-point deficit requires consistent top results to overcome. Only 0 win(s) in 8 races — needs to find another gear.