F1 Drivers' Championship 2026
Updated after: Dutch Grand Prix
Probability Evolution
Current Standings & Predictions
| # | Driver | Points | Win Prob | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANT Kimi Antonelli | 242.0 |
52.4%
|
-0.6% |
| 2 | HAM Lewis Hamilton | 183.0 |
43.7%
|
+0.5% |
| 3 | LEC Charles Leclerc | 155.0 |
2.8%
|
-0.1% |
| 4 | RUS George Russell | 183.0 |
0.6%
|
+0.2% |
| 5 | NOR Lando Norris | 159.0 |
0.3%
|
0.0% |
| 6 | VER Max Verstappen | 112.0 |
0.1%
|
+0.0% |
| 7 | BEA Oliver Bearman | 18.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 8 | LIN Arvid Lindblad | 24.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 9 | BOR Gabriel Bortoleto | 10.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 10 | GAS Pierre Gasly | 35.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 11 | OCO Esteban Ocon | 3.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 12 | ALB Alexander Albon | 5.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 13 | LAW Liam Lawson | 49.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 14 | COL Franco Colapinto | 22.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 15 | SAI Carlos Sainz | 6.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 16 | PER Sergio Perez | 1.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 17 | STR Lance Stroll | 0.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 18 | ALO Fernando Alonso | 2.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 19 | BOT Valtteri Bottas | 0.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 20 | HAD Isack Hadjar | 71.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 21 | PIA Oscar Piastri | 106.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 22 | HUL Nico Hulkenberg | 6.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
Analysis
Kimi Antonelli
52.4%
Driver 164 is the clear favourite for the championship (52%). Currently leads the championship with 219 points. Only 0 win(s) in 11 races — needs to find another gear.
Lewis Hamilton
43.7%
Driver 167 is a strong contender for the title (44%). Trails the leader by 50 points with 12 races to go. Only 0 win(s) in 11 races — needs to find another gear.
Charles Leclerc
2.8%
Driver 165's title chances are slim (2.8%). Trails the leader by 81 points with 12 races to go. Only 0 win(s) in 11 races — needs to find another gear.