F1 Drivers' Championship 2026
Updated after: Bahrain Grand Prix
Probability Evolution
Current Standings & Predictions
| # | Driver | Points | Win Prob | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANT Kimi Antonelli | 320.0 |
99.9%
|
+0.0% |
| 2 | HAM Lewis Hamilton | 214.0 |
0.1%
|
+0.0% |
| 3 | RUS George Russell | 236.0 |
0.1%
|
0.0% |
| 4 | LEC Charles Leclerc | 191.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 5 | NOR Lando Norris | 188.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 6 | VER Max Verstappen | 188.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 7 | BEA Oliver Bearman | 20.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 8 | LIN Arvid Lindblad | 37.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 9 | BOR Gabriel Bortoleto | 10.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 10 | GAS Pierre Gasly | 41.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 11 | OCO Esteban Ocon | 7.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 12 | ALB Alexander Albon | 5.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 13 | LAW Liam Lawson | 63.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 14 | COL Franco Colapinto | 30.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 15 | SAI Carlos Sainz | 7.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 16 | PER Sergio Perez | 1.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 17 | STR Lance Stroll | 0.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 18 | ALO Fernando Alonso | 6.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 19 | BOT Valtteri Bottas | 0.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 20 | HAD Isack Hadjar | 96.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 21 | PIA Oscar Piastri | 128.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
| 22 | HUL Nico Hulkenberg | 7.0 |
0.0%
|
0.0% |
Analysis
Kimi Antonelli
99.9%
Driver 164 is the clear favourite for the championship (100%). Currently leads the championship with 320 points. Has yet to win a race this season despite 16 rounds completed.
Lewis Hamilton
0.1%
Driver 167's title chances are slim (0.1%). A 106-point deficit requires consistent top results to overcome. Has yet to win a race this season despite 16 rounds completed.
George Russell
0.1%
Driver 162's title chances are slim (0.1%). A 84-point deficit requires consistent top results to overcome. Has yet to win a race this season despite 16 rounds completed.