WRC Drivers' Championship 2026
Probability Evolution
Current Standings & Predictions
| # | Driver | Team | Pts | Win % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Elfyn Evans
|
Toyota | 242.0 |
44%
|
-31 |
| 2 |
Oliver Solberg
|
Toyota | 240.0 |
33%
|
+21 |
| 3 |
Sami Pajari
|
Toyota | 237.0 |
23%
|
+10 |
Model Reasoning
Elfyn Evans
44%
Elfyn Evans leads the title race (44.5%). Currently leads the championship with 242 points. Calendar favours this driver — 1 of 1 remaining rallies are on gravel, where the Elo rating is 1613. In simulations, finishes the season with an average of 254 points in P1.8.
Oliver Solberg
33%
Oliver Solberg leads the title race (32.6%). Currently P2 in the standings with 240 points, 2 behind the leader. Calendar favours this driver — 1 of 1 remaining rallies are on gravel, where the Elo rating is 1597. In simulations, finishes the season with an average of 252 points in P2.0.
Sami Pajari
23%
Sami Pajari is a serious title contender (22.9%). Currently P3 in the standings with 237 points, 5 behind the leader. Calendar favours this driver — 1 of 1 remaining rallies are on gravel, where the Elo rating is 1597. In simulations, finishes the season with an average of 248 points in P2.3.