Model Performance

Transparent accuracy tracking. Every prediction is measured, every miss is counted.

Total Predictions
501
resolved of 501
Brier Score
0.0911
lower is better (0 = perfect)
Log Loss
0.2888
penalises confident mistakes

Calibration

When the model says 70%, does it happen 70% of the time? The closer to the diagonal, the better calibrated.

Brier Score Over Time

Monthly average Brier score. Lower values indicate better predictions. Months with fewer than 5 resolved predictions are excluded.

By Market

Sport Market Predictions Brier Log Loss
Formula 1 Fastest Lap 21 0.0562 0.2171
Formula 1 Podium 153 0.0997 0.3058
Formula 1 Race Winner 153 0.0461 0.1659
Formula 1 Sprint Winner 21 0.0457 0.1692
Formula 1 Top 6 153 0.1384 0.4209
Note: This is statistical information for educational and entertainment purposes. It does not constitute betting advice. Past model accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Proknoz has no affiliation with any betting operator.