Model Performance

Transparent accuracy tracking. Every prediction is measured, every miss is counted.

Total Predictions
247
resolved of 247
Brier Score
0.1040
lower is better (0 = perfect)
Log Loss
0.3510
penalises confident mistakes

Calibration

When the model says 70%, does it happen 70% of the time? The closer to the diagonal, the better calibrated.

Brier Score Over Time

Monthly average Brier score. Lower values indicate better predictions. Months with fewer than 5 resolved predictions are excluded.

By Market

Sport Market Predictions Brier Log Loss
WRC Rally Podium 43 0.1900 0.5608
WRC Rally Winner 42 0.0829 0.2962
WRC Stage Winner 162 0.0866 0.3095
Note: This is statistical information for educational and entertainment purposes. It does not constitute betting advice. Past model accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Proknoz has no affiliation with any betting operator.