Model Performance

Transparent accuracy tracking. Every prediction is measured, every miss is counted.

Total Predictions
44
resolved of 66
Brier Score
0,1025
lower is better (0 = perfect)
Log Loss
0,3403
penalises confident mistakes

Calibration

When the model says 70%, does it happen 70% of the time? The closer to the diagonal, the better calibrated.

Brier Score Over Time

Monthly average Brier score. Lower values indicate better predictions. Months with fewer than 5 resolved predictions are excluded.

By Market

Market Predictions Brier Log Loss
Rally Podium 12 0,1675 0,5133
Rally Winner 22 0,0758 0,2682
Stage Winner 10 0,0833 0,2914
Note: This is statistical information for educational and entertainment purposes. It does not constitute betting advice. Past model accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Proknoz has no affiliation with any betting operator.