Model Performance

Transparent accuracy tracking. Every prediction is measured, every miss is counted.

Total Predictions
1,203
resolved of 1,263
Brier Score
0.0881
lower is better (0 = perfect)
Log Loss
0.4060
penalises confident mistakes

Calibration

When the model says 70%, does it happen 70% of the time? The closer to the diagonal, the better calibrated.

Brier Score Over Time

Monthly average Brier score. Lower values indicate better predictions. Months with fewer than 5 resolved predictions are excluded.

By Market

Sport Market Predictions Brier Log Loss
Cycling GC Winner 3 0.9904 7.5514
Cycling Stage Winner 600 0.0220 0.0847
Cycling Top 10 Finish 600 0.1496 0.6916
Note: This is statistical information for educational and entertainment purposes. It does not constitute betting advice. Past model accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Proknoz has no affiliation with any betting operator.